Mechanical Market Timing Track Record

YTD Results as of May 13, 2019 - We are having an excellent year! Our members have profited +19.01% (YTD Average) (+17.25% DIA, +15.53% SPY, and +24.25% QQQ). The buy and hold strategy is up +11.92% (yearly total average for DIA, SPY, and QQQ). In addition, our current signal is up +4.51%, which will be added to our results upon the next change in signal status. We are currently beating the market by +7.09% YTD.


An Example of Our Methodology based on the
"Actual Trading History of QQQ in Year 2016"

The chart above shows our trading history for the ETF "QQQ". Red circles indicate the price & time we went to short sell positions. Green circles show the price & time for long positions. The green lines indicate profitable trades. The shorter red lines indicate nonprofitable trades. Notice how the system 'always' produces profitable gains for trending markets (i.e., trading either up or down). For lateral markets (i.e., nontrending with no clear direction), the system has small negative losses. Losing signals are part of any timing strategy. The key is minimizing large losses or drawdowns. Our system is designed to capture the large trending moves of the market, which will generate a larger return than the sum of all smaller losses. Our methodology for Year 2016 returned +31.43% for all QQQ trades, whereas the buy-and-hold produced +5.92%.


Overall Performance - From 2005 to 2018, we have outperformed the stock market 12 of 14 years. If you notice on the table, we never had a losing year. Our average return per year is +22.7% DIA, +21.2% SPY, and +26.8% QQQ, for an average of +23.6%, whereas the buy-and-hold is +9.5% DIA, +8.9% SPY, and +14.3% QQQ with an average of +10.9%. Overall, we are outperforming the stock market by +12.7% per year.


Results are based on a "fixed" amount of capital (meaning they are non-compounded).

Individual trades for previous years can be found here: Download in PDF format.

The main fact to observe from the table is that we are consistently beating the buy-and-hold strategy of the market.

If your current trading style has not matched our performance over the last several years,
we encourage you to join now and prosper from our valuable service!

Trade signals within the last 30 days are provided to members only.



"Timing is everything." - Ray Dalio, Principles: Life and Work