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Protect and grow your capital in bull and bear markets.
Trading signals for SPY, DIA, and QQQ (~2 trades/mo)
MechanicalMarketTiming.com is a pure mechanical impulse system for trading the most popular Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), which
are DIA, SPY, and QQQ. We have become a leading financial service for investors and traders who want to take advantage
of our highly effective algorithm, in both bullish and bearish markets. Our system is a purely quantitative technical approach to market timing
that does not involve interpretation. The system does not predict or forecast market movement. Our approach is based on reacting to price action.
Our system uses a combination of 'trend following' and 'momentum' to identify tradeable impulses. Trend followers use what we call 'reactive technical analysis'. Instead of trying to predict the market's direction, our approach is geared to react to the markets movements as soon as possible after they occur. Hence, we seek to respond to the market, not anticipate it. Our focus is therefore on identifying any trend/momentum reversal at a relatively early stage and to ride the new trend until the weight of evidence shows or proves that it has reversed. This is further explained in our methodology.
As a member you will know when to Buy Long and when to Sell Short with the trading signals generated for DIA, SPY, and QQQ based on our time-proven proprietary algorithms for any market condition (bullish or bearish). There is no better way to protect your capital when the market crashes!
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YTD Results as of November 27, 2023 - We are having an excellent year! So far our members have profited
+19.17% (2023 YTD Average)
(+18.56% SPY,
+22.05% DIA, and
+16.91% QQQ). Our current signal is up +6.51%.
State of the Market - This synopsis is shared with our members to shed light on the factors steering the market’s course. However, it’s important to note that these elements do not directly influence our signals, as they are generated through a sophisticated algorithmic process. Federal Reserve’s Hawkish Stance: The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy continues to play a pivotal role in shaping the economic outlook. The Fed’s hawkish stance has spooked investors, as higher rates for longer could be an unwelcome turn of events for stocks and bonds. Inflation: The latest data from the U.S. Labor Department reports the annual inflation rate at 3.7% as of September 2023. This rate, though slightly higher than the previously stated 3.67%, indicates a somewhat stable inflationary environment, albeit still exerting pressure on corporate earnings and consumer spending. Central Bank Policy: The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain the benchmark interest rate in the 5.25%-5.50% range reflects its ongoing effort to balance economic growth and inflation control. While the Fed's stance shows a pause in rate hikes, it signals a cautious approach amid economic uncertainties. This policy plays a pivotal role in shaping the economic outlook, influencing borrowing costs for businesses and potentially impacting economic growth trajectories. Geopolitical Risks: Current geopolitical risks include the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and heightened U.S.-China tensions, alongside various global economic challenges. These risks contribute to market volatility and uncertainty, affecting investor sentiment worldwide. US Stock Market Overview: Recent trends in the U.S. stock market have shown a positive trajectory, with major indexes like the Dow Jones, Nasdaq Composite, and S&P 500 experiencing significant gains. This uptrend has persisted despite the Federal Reserve's warnings of possible further interest rate hikes, aided by the stabilization of U.S. Treasury yields. Corporate earnings: Earnings reports are coming in mixed, with some companies beating expectations but others reporting weaker outlooks. This is adding to market uncertainty. Consumer Sentiment: The University of Michigan's November 2023 consumer sentiment index indicates a decrease to 60.4, reflecting growing consumer concerns about inflation and the broader economic outlook. This sentiment, at its lowest since May, highlights the cautious outlook of consumers in the current economic climate. Slowing economic growth: Recent data on retail sales, manufacturing, and housing suggest the economy may be slowing. Concerns about a potential recession continue to linger. Rising interest rates: Rising interest rates are making it more expensive for businesses to borrow money, which could lead to slower economic growth. Rising commodity prices: Rising commodity prices are putting pressure on corporate margins and consumer spending. According to a recent poll by the World Economic Forum, nearly two-thirds of economists believe a recession is likely to happen. However, you can take steps to protect your investments and come out ahead. One way to do that is by using a proven trading system like MMT. With MMT, you'll have a powerful timing system on your side that can help you navigate changing market conditions and stay with the trends, up or down. It takes just a few seconds to sign up for the free 3-day trial or become a member. Note: Our YTD starts from the first signal to close in 2023. You can see the individual trades in our trading history PDF. |
Overall Performance - From 2005 to 2022, we have outperformed the stock market 15 of 17 years. If you notice on the table, we never had a losing year. Our average return per year is +23.49% DIA, +23.20% SPY, and +29.92% QQQ, for an average of +25.54%, whereas the buy-and-hold is +8.16% DIA, +8.64% SPY, and +14.03% QQQ with an average of +10.28%. Overall, we are outperforming the stock market by +15.26% per year since 2005.
SPDR DJ Industrial Average ETF
NYSE: DIA
SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF
NYSE: SPY
PowerShares QQQ Trust ETF
NASDAQ: QQQ
An Example of Our Methodology based on the
"Actual Trading History of QQQ in Year 2016"
The chart above shows our trading history for the ETF "QQQ". Red circles indicate the price & time we went to short sell positions. Green circles show the price & time for long positions. The green lines indicate profitable trades. The shorter red lines indicate nonprofitable trades. Notice how the system 'always' produces profitable gains for trending markets (i.e., trading either up or down). For lateral markets (i.e., nontrending with no clear direction), the system has small negative losses, but never any significant drawdowns. Losing signals are part of any timing strategy, but the key is minimizing large losses. Our system is designed to capture the large trending moves of the market, which will generate a larger return than the sum of all smaller losses. Our methodology for 2016 returned +31.43% for all QQQ trades, whereas the buy-and-hold produced +5.92%.
The main fact to observe from the table is that we are consistently beating the buy-and-hold strategy of the market. If your current trading style is not making these returns, we encourage you to join now and become part of our growing number of happy investors who are prospering from our valuable service!
Results are based on a "fixed" amount of capital (meaning they are non-compounded).
We invite you to review the track record,
performance charts,
and trading statistics
of the system.
Not convinced? Check out Why MMT
is for you!
Read our FAQ
for answers to common questions.
"Timing is everything." - Ray Dalio, Principles: Life and Work
